10,000 Years in the Future:
Speculations for the future of the Okavango Delta must include the impact of humans on the delta area. This impact was studied in 2010 by a non-profit group Elephants Without Borders (EWB). EWB conducted and aerial study of the delta that produced some shocking results. The numbers of large mammal species were decreasing rapidly. 11 of the large mammal species had declined in the delta by, on average, 61%. Some species like the wildebeest had declined by around 90%. These startling numbers along with the conflicts faced upstream over the usage of the water that will eventually make up the delta lead to one dismal hypothesis. The now lush fertile lowlands could become a desolate desert much like the Kalahari below. The difference however between this area and the Kalahari is the seismic activity in the delta.
Here you can see the path the rift valley will take as it tears Africa apart. |
The African Rift Valley to the northeast in Ethiopia holds all of the secrets to the Okavango's future. The African Rift Valley is an area where the African and Somali plates are tearing apart creating a massive tear, or rift. Due to recent seismographic findings in the Okavango we can assume that the rift valley takes a westerly angle and cuts right through the delta. This means that as the rift continues to separate, the faults that create the Okavango will also continue to separate and create a large valley out of the current delta. We can hypothesize from this that in the future the delta will look much like the rift valley of today and the current rift valley will be a massive bay area as the Indian Ocean begins to flood into Africa. The current rift valley is characterized by jagged hills and large volcanoes, this is the future of the Okavango as well.
This map shows the frequencies of earthquakes in the Okavango. It is estimated they receive one significant quake a day. |
100,000,000 Years in the Future
By this time in the future the Okavango Delta will be but a distant memory. In its place will lie a vast sea. This sea will separate Africa from a new continent that will split from the mainland of Africa. The Rift Valley will have torn the continent apart directly across the former Okavango Delta. Home once to the great mammals of land it will now house the great animals of the sea.
Sources: http://www.nytimes.com/books/first/e/eldredge-life.html